−6.0% under predicted

Kalliolanrinne 3

00510 · AlppiharjuKalliolanrinne 3 · Helsinki

Selling price
€418,000
€5,806/m²
Predicted
€444,781
€6,178/m²
Size
72 m²
3 rooms
Year
1939
Floor 3/7
Monthly fee
€468/mo
total housing co-op fee
Gross yield
4.0%
rent ÷ asking

Price comparison

How this unit prices vs. the model and the surrounding 00510 market.

Asking is 6.0% below predicted
Asking price
€418,000
€5,806/m²
Predicted price
€444,781
€6,178/m²
Implied savings
−€26,781
vs. model estimate

Where this listing sits in the market

00510 · asking vs. predicted €/m²
Asking €5,806/m²
Predicted €6,178/m²
€3,587/m² €5,519/m² (postcode median) €8,002/m²

Recent quarterly €/m² trend · 00510

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Postcode median €/m² This listing's asking €/m²

Market context

How this listing compares to recent activity in 00510 AlppiharjuKalliolanrinne 3 — actual sold prices, typical seller flexibility, and how long listings sit before they close.

Days on market
5 days
Median for 00510: 166 days (n=164). Fresh — seller likely firmer.
Typical negotiation in this postcode
-5.5%
Average sold-vs-asking gap across 39 matched sales in 00510. Implied close on this listing: €394,891.

Comparable realised sales · 00510

8 matched within ±30% size
Sold Size Asked Sold price €/m² vs ask
2026-02-09 59.5 m² €268,000 €255,000 €4,286 -4.9%
2025-12-17 55.5 m² €339,000 €330,000 €5,946 -2.7%
2025-11-26 53 m² €189,000 €189,000 €3,566 0%
2025-09-20 67 m² €378,000 €351,000 €5,239 -7.1%
2025-08-20 87 m² €498,000 €480,000 €5,517 -3.6%
2025-08-20 53.7 m² €299,000 €258,000 €4,804 -13.7%
2025-08-05 57 m² €335,000 €310,000 €5,439 -7.5%
2025-08-05 69 m² €398,000 €380,000 €5,507 -4.5%

Matched against ARA realised-sale records within the same postcode and ±30% of this unit's size, sorted by sale date.

What the model considered

24 features · gradient-boosted regression

Predictions come from a non-linear XGBoost ensemble trained on a rolling 365-day window of Helsinki listings — not a postcode median with per-feature adjustments. Below are the values the model received for this unit, with each feature group's typical training-set importance.

Predicted
€444,781
€6,178/m²
Postcode reference
Median in 00510 AlppiharjuKalliolanrinne 3: €5,519/m² · this unit asks €5,806/m²
Postcode median is one of 24 inputs (~12% of model importance) — not a baseline that adjustments are layered on.
Floor area
72.0 m²
Very high
Room count
3 rooms
Very high
Postcode
00510 · AlppiharjuKalliolanrinne 3 (median €5,519/m²)
High
Condition
Good
High
Year built
1939
High
Pipe renovation
Completed 1994
High
Maintenance fee
€468/mo
High
Floor in building
3 / 7
High
Land ownership
Own plot
Moderate
Elevator
Yes
Moderate
Sauna
Yes
Moderate
Balcony
Yes
Moderate

Importance is the typical share of model gain attributed to each feature group across the training set. The actual contribution to this specific prediction would require running SHAP on the live model.

Pipe renovation

Linjasaneeraus is the largest building-system replacement a Helsinki housing company performs — typical cost €25–55k per unit and often shifts the asking price.

Pipe renovation completed 1994

No imminent assessment expected; the cost is already absorbed into the asking price.

Building & title

Quick reference for things that move the price beyond size and location.

Apartment

Floor
3 / 7
Condition
Good
Energy class
F
Balcony
Yes
Sauna
Yes

Building

Year built
1939
Total floors
7
Elevator
Yes

Title

Land
Own plot
Pre-emption
Not reported

Deal economics

What you actually pay, what a realistic close looks like, and what a buyer can expect to earn from rent.

Cash at signing
Selling price €418,000
Transfer tax (1.5%) €6,270
Admin / drafting fee (est.) €380
Cash needed €424,650
Monthly running costs€/mo
Total housing-company fee €468
Implied annual €5,616
Realistic close estimate. Sales in 00510 settle 5.5% off ask on average (39 matched sales). At that rate, this listing closes near €394,891 (cash incl. tax + admin: €401,194).
Gross yield
4.0%
rent ÷ asking
Implied annual rent
€16,553
back-computed from yield
Implied monthly rent
€1,379
annual ÷ 12

Mortgage estimate

Quick estimate of monthly principal + interest. Move the sliders for your situation.

20% · €
4.0%
25 years
Loan amount
debt-free price minus down payment
Monthly principal + interest
plus housing-company fee €— all-in
Total interest paid
over the full term

Illustrative only. Real offers depend on your credit, ECB / Euribor at draw-down, and the bank's margin.

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